Tom Nelson

Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives.

00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction
00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless
01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance
02:26 Disagreement in Science
02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion
04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST)
08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship
15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims
34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws
49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths
49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation
51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics
53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models
54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST
55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science
01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research
01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Work

https://jonathancohler.com/
https://x.com/cohler
DDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1I
DDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility.

00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview
00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature
01:24 Review of Key Papers
02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature
04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages
09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement
19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons
33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics
37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts
38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws
38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy
40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications
43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy
44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules
45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy
48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship
49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant
54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature
57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature
01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship
01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics
01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts

 Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf
 Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf
 Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17
Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdf
My tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848

https://x.com/NikolovScience
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Steve Davies discusses the major themes of his new book ‘The Great Realignment: Why the New Right Wing Politics is Here to Stay,’ which analyzes the political upheaval since the mid-2000s. He explains how traditional left vs. right economic issues have been replaced by a new alignment based on nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, driven by deep structural changes in the global economy and political landscape. Davies also touches on topics like digital IDs, the future of climate change policies, open borders, and the impact of emerging geopolitical shifts.

00:00 Introduction to Steve Davies and His New Book
01:32 The Great Realignment: Political Upheaval Explained
03:17 The Collapse of Traditional Major Parties
04:54 The Permanent Nature of New Right Politics
05:35 Understanding Political Realignment
09:40 The Shift from Economics to Globalization vs. Cosmopolitanism
15:48 Material Causes Behind Political Changes
16:44 Impact of Global Investment and Migration
19:46 The Role of Meritocracy and Cultural Splits
21:39 Climate Change in the New Political Divide
27:09 Alternative Solutions to Global Problems
29:41 The Future of the United Nations
31:08 Global Power Shifts and the Decline of the UN
33:49 The Looming Debt Crisis
34:59 The Impact of Aging Populations on National Budgets
37:12 Potential Solutions to the Debt Problem
38:07 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Finance
40:21 Public Spending and Corruption
42:39 The Threat of Digital Dystopia
47:14 Open Borders and Immigration Policies
58:48 Final Thoughts on Future Political Landscapes

https://x.com/SteveDavies365
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Author Ralph Pezzullo discusses his book 'Stolen Elections' based on a five-year investigation by government whistleblowers into the manipulation of elections via compromised software developed in Venezuela. The book details how this software, allegedly used to rig elections in 72 countries, was partly responsible for suspected fraud in U.S. elections since 2008. With insights from whistleblowers, computer experts, and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk, Pezzullo emphasizes the need to revert to paper ballots and ID-based voting to restore electoral integrity.

00:00 Introduction to Ralph Pezzullo and His Book
00:12 Whistleblowers and Their Backgrounds
01:25 Publicity and High-Profile Awareness
02:05 The Criminal Cartel and Election Software
05:36 Global Impact and Historical Context
08:53 Infiltration and Manipulation in the U.S.
12:47 Efforts to Expose and Combat the Fraud
23:43 Challenges and Resistance
27:01 The 2016 and 2024 Elections
38:42 Support and Skepticism
49:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

https://x.com/RalphPezzullo
https://linktr.ee/hbh_pod
Stolen Elections book trailer: https://youtu.be/iEwa-SLnODY
Stolen Elections on Amazon: https://a.co/d/cLBwpha
https://stolenelectionsfacts.com/
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Alvin Wong, a researcher from the University of Hong Kong, discusses the significant yet often underestimated impact of volcanic eruptions on global weather patterns and climate change. Highlighting studies from various volcanic events, including the 1982 El Chichon and the 2021-2022 Tonga eruptions, Wong explains how volcanic materials and geothermal heat released during eruptions can alter atmospheric and oceanic systems, leading to extreme weather phenomena like heavy rainfall and altered ocean circulation. Wong calls for a greater consideration of volcanic activity in climate models to improve weather prediction and understanding of climate variability.

00:00 Introduction to Alvin Wong and Volcanic Eruptions
04:13 Hong Kong Rainfall Records and Volcanic Eruptions
29:22 Geothermal Heat from Volcanic Eruptions
32:48 The 2021-2022 Hunga Tonga Eruption
46:50 Global Impact of the Hunga Tonga Eruption
01:02:04 Short-term and Long-term Effects of Volcanic Eruptions
01:10:14 Volcanic Eruptions and Extreme Weather Events
01:17:03 Future Research and Predictions
01:24:17 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

https://volcanostudygrouphk.wordpress.com/author/taipofo/
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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1