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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
Tom Nelson
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436 episodes

  • Tom Nelson

    Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

    2026-09-29 | 1h 12 mins.
    Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.

    00:00 Steve Returns and Topic
    00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials
    01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics
    04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere
    07:50 Evidence and Correlations
    13:28 New Solar Oscillations
    16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters
    20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method
    22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming
    25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia
    29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal
    32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation
    35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect
    36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever
    36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism
    39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence
    40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns
    42:14 Climate Impact Summary
    43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations
    45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field
    49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals
    53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles
    56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends
    59:12 Long Records and Big Claims
    01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote
    01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols
    01:11:39 Closing Remarks

    Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431

    2026-09-25 | 45 mins.
    Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans.

    00:00 Why This Rebuttal
    01:23 Berry Claims Overview
    03:16 New Radiocarbon Data
    05:19 Lie One Citation Record
    07:33 Lie Two Not Identical
    10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed
    12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023
    13:16 Residence vs Relaxation
    15:57 Bridge Equation Results
    17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern
    18:29 Independent Checks and Implications
    21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion
    22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth
    24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure
    26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check
    27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter
    28:19 Ethics And Accusations
    29:27 Data Driven Challenge
    31:08 CO2 Coalition Split
    33:32 Math Not Debate
    36:55 Ugly Email Wars
    40:01 Science Over Ego
    42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers
    43:22 Passing The Torch
    45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye

    https://x.com/cohler
    https://papers.jcohler.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Eric Huxter: “Metrology vs Meteorology” #430

    2026-09-22 | 1h 11 mins.
    Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025).

    00:00 Meet Eric Huxter
    02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality
    05:55 UK Stations And Siting
    08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias
    17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect
    22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method
    27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima
    38:00 On The Hour Mystery
    39:56 Step Change Since 1990
    43:13 Microclimate Case Studies
    48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny
    58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique
    01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Follow

    https://x.com/EricHuxter
    https://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429

    2026-09-18 | 59 mins.
    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions.

    00:00 Meet Ed Berry
    00:53 From Clouds to Climate
    01:49 Why Consensus Fails
    03:11 Scientific Method Basics
    05:16 Three Climate Assumptions
    06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim
    08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle
    09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data
    12:48 Flows and Human Share
    14:11 Building a Carbon Model
    16:26 E-Time and Linearity
    19:40 Deriving Balance Levels
    21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times
    25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split
    27:21 What 420 ppm Implies
    27:58 Systems Model Math
    29:29 Partitioning Human CO2
    31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction
    34:24 Courtney Endorsement
    35:45 Delta 14C Evidence
    39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve
    42:09 Temperature Leads CO2
    44:21 Proofs Summary
    48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup
    50:51 WEF Influence Claims
    52:11 DOE Report Problem
    53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique
    56:48 Group Positions Wrap
    57:48 Q&A And Closing

    https://edberry.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
  • Tom Nelson

    Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428

    2026-09-11 | 54 mins.
    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria.

    00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson
    00:27 Writing Happer Biography
    01:45 Happer Science Legacy
    02:42 Climate Views Adaptation
    03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained
    05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset
    06:04 Princeton Controversy
    07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories
    09:18 Childhood and Formation
    10:58 Standing Up for Science
    13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma
    16:38 Outsiders and Discovery
    21:15 Curiosity and Measuring
    23:25 CO2 Politics and Money
    24:45 Book Release and Coalition
    25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach
    27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio
    28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile
    30:10 Working Life at Princeton
    31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout
    32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate
    34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy
    37:29 Skepticism After COVID
    41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes
    44:24 Kindness Over Division
    48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria
    50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI
    54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks

    Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/
    =========
    Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries
    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1
More Natural Sciences podcasts
About Tom Nelson
Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.
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