Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football

The Dynasty Nerds Podcast is going team by team to find the best values in dynasty fantasy football. Garret Price and Andrew Mott break down every NFL team, looking for players who could outproduce their current dynasty price.

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This episode moves fast, with names ranging from proven stars to deep dynasty stashes. Zay Flowers, Chase Brown, DeAndre Swift, Jared Goff, and Justin Jefferson all come up as players who may still be priced below their realistic fantasy ceiling.

Whether you are contending, rebuilding, or just searching for affordable upside, this episode is packed with player debates that can help you attack the dynasty market before values change. Use it alongside Dynasty Rankings, Rookie Big Boards, and Rookie Mock Drafts to sharpen your next move.

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00:00 Start

01:35 AFC North Values

04:07 NFC North Values

09:09 AFC East Values

13:02 NFC East

18:34 AFC South

21:26 NFC South

25:59 AFC West

30:35 NFC West
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Garret and Andrew fire up a fast paced round of Booming Bench Bust, putting dynasty favorites into three buckets and forcing clear takes instead of the usual keep trade cut hedging. Garret frames it as a gut check game, and Andrew leans into ceiling and situation, even when it means making uncomfortable calls on big names.

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The show opens with a tricky wide receiver trio where Andrew crowns George Pickens as the boom, slots Garrett Wilson as the bench, and tags Chris Olave as the bust based on target competition. Garret counters by calling Garrett Wilson his boom and pushing Pickens into bust territory due to volatility and situational risk. At quarterback, both agree Joe Burrow carries the biggest boom profile, but they split on the bench bust debate between Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert, with Garret worried about Herbert’s volume under Harbaugh.

At running back, both side with Kenneth Walker as the boom over Breece Hall and Quinshon Judkins, then align again on a second trio by making Javonte Williams the boom and fading Josh Jacobs. Tight end debate follows, with both landing on Sam LaPorta as the bust, while Garret pushes Kyle Pitts as his boom. The episode closes with a fun QB2 swing where Andrew bets on Ty Simpson as the long play boom, while Garret plants a flag on Daniel Jones as a potential career resurgence.

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Google sheets for data:

RBs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1idJmPno8MCI-WUdCG0f5wXAwngaztZj7V0xTiNI1HJY/edit?usp=sharing

QBs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bJyn6KrrOktHVAFI90buniA3G8iGmogqD9Fv6WFSwwI/edit?usp=sharing

WRs:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qwxHm7lMHQ7kZecVZUuWQd1AhaXoKzEUQaqYpQf2tfw/edit?usp=sharing

TEs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FSwzXR62EG_CyBg77BaS8BV0iBLd7ZUoA7Ll8eqEtXE/edit?usp=sharing

The Dynasty Nerds crew is back with their annual “repeat rate” deep dive, breaking down how often elite fantasy finishes actually repeat year to year and what that means for building dynasty rosters. Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price walk through the biggest shifts in the data, with the running back position showing the most meaningful change.

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The headline is the pivot at RB. Historically, most top 12 RB seasons were one and done, but now only 43.75% of RB1 seasons are single year hits, meaning 56% plus repeat. Even wilder, about 40.6% of RB1 seasons come from backs who eventually log three or more RB1 years. That shift strengthens the case for locking in young cornerstone backs like Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, who already have three RB1 seasons in three years, while Kyren Williams keeps beating the “other shoe” narrative by repeating without elite peak finishes.

At QB, Josh Allen is in historic territory with seven top six seasons in eight years, and a massive top three hit rate. The show also notes how rare four top six seasons are, which keeps Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott in elite company even when real life value and fantasy value diverge.

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00:00 Start

03:33 A Pivot in the RB Data

25:37 Top QB Hit Rates

38:25 FFPC

39:40 Top WR Hit Rates

48:40 Top TE Hit Rates
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With training camps creeping closer, the Dynasty Nerds crew is already digging into the unsexy part of roster building: ultra cheap stashes who can turn into real lineup leverage fast. Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price run through deep names that can be had for basically nothing right now, but could matter a lot once roles crystallize.

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The episode kicks off with Jake Tonges, a near free tight end who flashed when George Kittle missed time and now has a clearer path after Kittle’s Achilles injury. At wide receiver, Washington’s open competition puts Luke McCaffrey and Jaylin Lane under the microscope, while Tory Horton is framed as a best ball friendly bet in Seattle’s unsettled depth chart. The Raiders segment circles back to Jack Bech as a cheap post hype option, and the dart throws continue with George Holani and Malik Washington as opportunity based stashes. They close with the classic handcuff thesis, citing Brian Robinson Jr. and other backup backs as boring assets that can flip into league winning volume in one snap.

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00:00 Start

06:34 Jake Tonges

14:38 Luke McCaffery & Jaylin Lane

19:20 Tory Horton

24:31 Tenz

26:40 FFPC

29:24 Jack Bech

35:41 George Holani

37:32 Malik Washington

40:30 Brian Robinson Jr. and Others

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Chicago might be the most fantasy-friendly breakout factory of 2026, and Garret Price and Andrew Mott are planting their flags early. This episode runs through six breakout bets, from young ascending quarterbacks to a contender-only veteran RB swing, with clear reasons why these situations could spike in a big way.

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Andrew’s favorite breakout is Rome Odunze, pointing to an early 2025 hot start before a stress fracture derailed the season. With DJ Moore gone, plus Luther Burden and Colston Loveland helping consolidate targets in a Ben Johnson offense, the ceiling is back on the table. Garret doubles down with Caleb Williams, calling for a second leap from QB6 into a year where top-three finishes become the regular outcome, especially if efficiency climbs with weapons like D'Andre Swift.

Andrew swings on Cam Ward improving with better coaching and Carnell Tate in Tennessee. Garret calls Omarion Hampton a potential RB3 overall type outcome in the right run-heavy environment. The deep value TE bet is Chigoziem Okonkwo in Washington, and the contender-only hammer is David Montgomery, a cheap buy who could climb on red zone volume.

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00:00 Start

01:08 Rome Odunze

05:38 Caleb Williams

10:41 Cam Ward

15:25 Omarion Hampton

19:15 Chigoziem Okonkwo

25:36 David Montgomery
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