Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football

Rich, Garret, and Matt reveal the statistical thresholds that separate dynasty hits from busts across all four positions. Garret breaks down years of historical data to show exactly which benchmarks predict long term success, and the numbers are shockingly consistent. Quarterbacks who hit 17 points per game in their first two seasons become franchise cornerstones 67% of the time, while running backs without 30 receptions in their first two years have under a 5% success rate. The data gets even more brutal for wide receivers.

First round wide receivers who fail to reach 500 yards as rookies almost never recover, with only four outliers since 2010. Travis Hunter managed just 300 yards with injury issues, while Matthew Golden didn't reach the mark either despite staying healthy all season. The crew debates whether to sell now for 70 cents on the dollar before values crater completely. Meanwhile, Jaxson Dart already cleared the 17 PPG quarterback threshold at 17.3, while Cam Ward fell short at 11 despite second half improvements. Rookie tight ends Tyler Warren and Harold Fannin both finished top six, joining the elite club that includes only Kelce, Kittle, and Gronkowski. The data suggests these aren't just guidelines but predictive indicators dynasty managers should treat as gospel when making trades.

00:00:00 Start

00:04:23 Important QB Stats

00:23:53 Important RB Stats

00:33:57 FastDraft

00:37:07 FFPC

00:38:39 Important WR Stats

00:48:06 Important TE Stats
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Garret Price and Andrew Mott tackle dynasty's toughest question: how do you rank proven 2025 rookies against unknown 2026 prospects? The duo ranked their combined top 29 players across both classes, revealing Jaxson Dart as the overall QB1 and Jeremiah Love as the lone 2026 player cracking the elite tier alongside Omarion Hampton, Ashton Gentry, and Tetairoa McMillan. But the real fireworks came in the middle rounds.

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FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes!

FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team!

00:00 Start

03:49 S Tier

09:36 A Tier

12:23 Dynasty Nerds Film Room

13:37 A Tier Continued

14:59 B Tier

20:29 C Tier

25:55 D Tier

37:22 E Tier

38:14 F Tier
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The 2026 Senior Bowl delivered underwhelming buzz compared to previous years, but Jagger May and Andrew Mott still found breakout performers and concerning tape. Mike Washington Jr. jumped to RB3 in Jagger's rankings with his 228-pound frame and receiving ability, while D3 sensation Tyren Montgomery from John Carroll measured in at 5'11" and impressed despite the competition level. The biggest surprise? This weak draft class is elevating prospects who simply did what they were supposed to do.

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Garrett Nussmeier won MVP honors and reminded everyone why he was projected as a top quarterback prospect despite LSU's messy season. Linebacker Jacob Rodriguez from Texas Tech showed sideline-to-sideline speed with elite coverage skills, while Missouri edge rusher Zion Young earned defensive MVP. Indiana's Kaelon Black impressed with his 500-pound squat translating to downhill thumping ability, while Oklahoma's Jaydn Ott moved from undrafted territory to day three consideration.

Diego Pavia measured in at just 5'9" and showed inconsistent mobility, likely dropping to undrafted status. Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green has the physical tools at 6'6" and 229 pounds but showed poor decision-making. Nick Singleton suffered a broken foot, eliminating combine testing and potentially ending his draft hopes entirely after production already dipped at Penn State. The crew emphasizes that all film breakdowns are available in the Dynasty Nerds Film Room for deeper evaluation.

Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league.

📊 Rookie Big Boards

📝 Rookie Mock Drafts

📈 Dynasty Rankings

📱 Dynasty Nerds App

🧱 IDP Hub

👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league.

Start Using the Film Room Today!

FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes!

FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team!

00:00 Start

00:59 Mike Washington Jr. RB, Arkansas

07:35 Tyren Montgomery WR, John Carroll

13:55 Film Room

14:47 Jacob Rodriguez LB, Texas A&M

20:25 Garrett Nussmeier QB, LSU

23:55 Jaydn Ott RB, Oklahoma

27:39 Kaelon Black RB, Indiana

36:18 Zion Young EDGE, Mizzou

38:27 Diego Pavia QB, Vanderbilt

41:49 Taylen Green QB, Arkansas

45:23 Nick Singleton RB, Penn State

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Garret Price, Andrew Mott, and Jagger May tackle the toughest question facing AFC East and North teams this offseason: how do you fix a broken roster? From Buffalo's desperate hunt for a true WR1 to Cleveland's offensive line nightmare, the crew plays GM and maps out draft strategy, free agency targets, and trade scenarios for eight franchises trying to climb out of mediocrity.

Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league.

📊 Rookie Big Boards

📝 Rookie Mock Drafts

📈 Dynasty Rankings

📱 Dynasty Nerds App

🧱 IDP Hub

👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league.

Start Using the Film Room Today!

FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes!

FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team!

00:00:00 Start

00:02:12 Buffalo Bills

00:11:41 Miami Dolphins

00:22:16 New England Patriots

00:28:35 New York Jets

00:38:21 Baltimore Ravens

00:45:12 Cincinnati Bengals

00:50:57 Cleveland Browns

00:57:46 Pittsburgh Steelers
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Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price conducted a live one QB PPR startup draft with Nerd Herd members, revealing stark strategy differences from superflex formats. Rich secured Bijan Robinson at 1.02, while Garrett grabbed De'Von Achane at 1.06, and Matt made an experimental pick taking Brock Bowers at 1.10 despite later regretting the decision.

The draft showcased dramatically different positional value compared to superflex formats. Drake May went in the second round, but most quarterbacks fell significantly later. Rich won the quarterback chicken game, waiting until round 10 to take Dak Prescott while quality options like C.J. Stroud, Cam Ward, and Jared Goff remained available. He emphasized cycling through veteran quarterbacks in one QB formats rather than investing premium picks.

Matt's Bowers pick sparked debate about tight end strategy. He admitted afterward he would pivot to CeeDee Lamb if redrafting, noting Tucker Kraft went in the fifth round with similar per-game production. Rich doubled down on tight ends, taking Kyle Pitts and Dalton Kincaid back-to-back, betting on elite upside at the position. The hosts agreed this represents the deepest young tight end class in dynasty history, making waiting on the position more viable than ever before.

Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league.

📊 Rookie Big Boards

📝 Rookie Mock Drafts

📈 Dynasty Rankings

📱 Dynasty Nerds App

🧱 IDP Hub

👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league.

Start Using the Film Room Today!

FastDraft: Download and deposit $10 using code NERDS on the FastDraft app and join your first draft to be eligible for a free one-year full bundle membership at Dynasty Nerds (new members only). FastDraft will match your deposit up to $50. Draft best ball teams in under 5 minutes!

FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team!

00:00 Start

00:59 Round 1

04:01 Round 2

08:09 Round 3

11:30 Round 4

16:22 FastDraft

18:23 FFPC

19:50 Round 5

22:54 Round 6

26:59 Round 7

30:45 Round 8

34:02 Round 9

35:56 Round 10

38:28 Round 11

41:53 Round 12

45:03 Round 13

47:18 Team Breakdown
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