This episode of the Missing Middle podcast explores a new University of Toronto study that highlights housing affordability as a key factor in declining fertility rates in the United States. Hosts Mike Moffatt and Cara Stern analyze the findings, including the study’s estimate that over half of the fertility decline since 1990 is linked to the shortage of affordable, family-sized homes—resulting in 13 million fewer births. They discuss how delayed household formation, smaller living spaces, and rising costs for family-appropriate housing all contribute, and why similar trends are probably occurring in Canada, especially in high-cost provinces like Ontario and B.C. The conversation also addresses misconceptions about fertility, critiques the “all supply is good supply” argument, and examines the structural barriers preventing cities from building enough three- and four-bedroom homes. Mike and Cara explore how unsuitable housing impacts families, newcomers, and children, how municipal regulations add to the shortage, and why resolving this issue requires major zoning, planning, and building-code reforms—rather than simply telling young people to “lower their standards.”Chapters:00:00 Introduction 00:40 Examining a U of T study on fertility and housing affordability01:40 51% of the decline in fertility rate is attributed to lack of housing03:52 Unpacking housing affordability and Canada’s fertility rate05:02 Cara highlights a viewer comment about the cause of fertility decline08:50 Society needs younger generations to grow not shrink09:20 Mike outlines the human right to housing12:45 Who is more likely to be living in unsuitable housing?14:18 Children are more likely to be underhoused16:12 All supply is good supply - but is it?18:50 Consequences of not providing enough housing in cities22:50 Or/and we could build our cities upResearch Links:Build, Baby, Build: How Housing Shapes FertilityBKC_JMP.pdfShe's (Not) Having a Baby | CardusFamilies Are Outgrowing Our Cities, and the Law Says They Shouldn’t Have ToNational Occupancy Standard | CMHCHosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
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25:34
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25:34
Are Boomers Bankrupting the Future?
The conversation highlights the pressing issue of intergenerational tensions in Canada, particularly focusing on the financial burdens faced by younger Canadians. Sabrina discusses the potential consequences of failing to address these issues, including the risk to public healthcare and the erosion of political support for senior programs. The need for a modernized fiscal system that is equitable for all generations is emphasized as a critical solution to prevent further societal breakdown.Chapters00:00 Introduction 01:07 Are seniors struggling economically?02:34 Shout out to Generation Squeeze02:52 Breaking down who benefits from government spending04:00 How Gen z and Millennials are fairing05:18 Intergenerational wealth transfer from old to young06:00 Shout out to Boom, Bust and Echo07:00 Senior citizen tax advantages08:40 Redesigning our fiscal system for generational fairness11:44 Good policy doesn’t always make good politics13:00 What happens if we don’t fix this?15:00 Less intergenerational fight club more intergenerational cooperationResearch/links:After years of decline, child poverty in Canada is rising swiftly: reportGeneration Squeeze: https://www.gensqueeze.caPaul Kershaw's "Hard Truths" podcast: https://www.gensqueeze.ca/videoWho is being asked to sacrifice in Budget 2025?Recent health care deal is a win for retirees. The finances of younger Canadians are collateral damageHow younger Canadians end up paying more for boomers' medical careSeniors and the generation spending gapA trillion-dollar tsunami: Canadians grapple with unprecedented wealth transferCanadian Institute of Health Information - National Health Expenditure Trends: https://www.cihi.ca/en/national-health-expenditure-trendsHosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
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15:36
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15:36
Canada Is Finally Regulating Stablecoins – Here’s Why It Matters
Canada is moving toward regulating dollar-backed stablecoins, and in this episode, Sabrina Maddeaux and Mike Moffatt break down what that means. They explain how stablecoins work, why Canada has been behind other G7 countries, and the potential benefits for payments and innovation.Mike and Sabrina also discuss the balance between protecting Canadians and encouraging competition, and why clear rules could help Canadian fintechs thrive. A small step with big implications for the future of digital payments in Canada.Chapters: 00:00 Introduction00:49 Federal budget: Stablecoin announcement 02:44 What is a stablecoin?04:40 Advantages of stablecoins over traditional payment methods07:08 Canada’s missing stablecoin regulatory framework10:11 Canada should set its own stablecoin rules11:42 Was skepticism about stablecoin regulation warranted?12:47 Promoting healthy competition, innovation, and productivity13:34 ConclusionResearch/links:Regulatory Delays, Dollar-Backed Stablecoins, and Affordability for Canadianshttps://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/p/dollar-backed-stablecoins-and-affordabilityFederal budget 2025: Plan for stablecoin rules to usher in Canada’s ‘digital dollar era,’ advocates sayhttps://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-federal-budget-2025-stablecoin-legislation/Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
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14:05
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14:05
Why Rent Control Might Be Hurting the People It’s Meant to Help
Host Cara Stern is back from parental leave, and she and Mike are jumping right into one of the most debated topics in housing policy — rent control. Inspired by Zohran Mamdani's campaign rent freeze proposal, they dig into how these rules shape the housing market, not just for landlords and tenants, but for entire cities. While rent control offers stability and predictability for those lucky enough to have it, it can also quietly freeze people in place — making it harder to move for a new job, grow a family, or even downsize later in life.In this episode, they explore how rent control affects mobility, opportunity, and fairness between long-term renters and newcomers. From young families trying to upsize to seniors staying put in oversized apartments, Cara and Mike unpack the tradeoffs behind this well-intentioned policy. Is rent control helping affordability, or holding cities back from building the housing we actually need?Chapters:01:00 Introduction01:19 Zahran Mamdani's rent control policy overview01:44 Rent control explained02:19 Mike gives an example of how rent control locks people into place05:20 How being locked into place effects family planning07:28 How being locked into place effects seniors downsizing09:34 Rent control hurts people who need to move10:03 The distributional consequences of rent control 10:45 How newer tenants subsidize newer tenants12:39 Cara proposes an NIMBYism theory13:21 Mike counters with “unintended consequences”15:18 If rent control disappears mobility increases17:36 Should rent control be abolished in Ontario?Research/linksHousing Market Spillovers:Evidence From The End Of Rent Control In Cambridge Massachusettshttps://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w18125/w18125.pdfStats Can data:Housing suitability of private householdRent controls do far more harm than good, comprehensive review findsRent controls do far more harm than good, comprehensive review finds — Institute of Economic AffairsRenters’ shelter costs by duration of tenancyRenters’ shelter costs by duration of tenancyMamdani Seeks to Freeze Rents on Stabilized Units. What About the Rest?Mamdani Seeks to Freeze Rents on Stabilized Units. What About the Rest? - The New York TimesThe Misallocation of Housing Under Rent ControlThe Misallocation of Housing Under Rent Control - American Economic Association rentcontrol.pdfHosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
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19:29
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19:29
How Canada Fell Behind the World on Housing Affordability
This week on The Missing Middle Podcast, Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux bust some myths and take a hard look at Canada’s place in the global housing landscape. Drawing on new OECD data, they reveal why Canada’s housing affordability crisis is among the worst in the developed world—with home prices having risen more than twice as fast as incomes since 1999. They compare Canada’s record to other OECD countries (spoiler: it’s not flattering) and highlight where affordability has been successfully maintained (hint: not here). Sabrina offers a theory on why both Canada and Australia are failing so badly at keeping homes affordable, and together, she and Mike make the case for dropping the excuse that this is just a “global trend.”Chapters:00:00 Introduction 01:30 Game:React to the Boomer Comment02:40 Young people don’t want responsibility?03:59 Global trend or Canadian crisis?05:12 Missing Middle study on the global housing landscape07:35 Home prices vs incomes09:33 It’s worse in Canada, it’s us, we’re the problem12:30 Which countries are better at affordability?15:00 Possible reasons Canada and Australia are struggling with affordability?Housing report card:https://jhelmer.quarto.pub/rescon-state-of-the-sector-quarterly-reports/12-report-card-brantford.htmlDerek Thompson Sunstack - Chart 10https://www.derekthompson.org/p/the-25-most-interesting-ideas-ive?utm_source=www.profgmarkets.com&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=nvidia-to-invest-5-billion-in-intelCanada vs. the World: The Worst Record on Housing Affordability Since 2004https://www.missingmiddleinitiative.ca/p/canada-vs-the-world-the-worst-recordOECD Affordable Housing Database:https://www.oecd.org/en/data/datasets/oecd-affordable-housing-database.htmlHosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux Produced by Meredith Martin This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
About The Missing Middle with Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux
Welcome to the Missing Middle, a podcast about why the middle class in Canada is disappearing. We hope to help you understand why life is becoming unaffordable for so many in this country, and what can be done to reverse course.
Listen to The Missing Middle with Mike Moffatt and Sabrina Maddeaux, The Tucker Carlson Show and many other podcasts from around the world with the radio.net app
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