The Numbers

An investor’s summit, a trip to the European Union that could begin potentially closer ties in the future and, of course, there’s Donald Trump. There’s plenty going on in federal politics right now. But there’s also a lot of upheaval happening in Western Canada. Just what is going on?

This week on The Numbers, we discuss some new developments in Alberta and British Columbia. The Alberta NDP won an upset byelection victory in Calgary this week in a vote that could represent a serious rebuke and warning signal to Premier Danielle Smith. In B.C., the Conservative Party is now trailing by a wide margin in a new poll as the party continues to disintegrate. Could Premier David Eby call a snap election to take advantage of it?

We also chat about where things stand on the national stage as Mark Carney’s Liberals open up a wider lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, as well as how Canadians might feel about closer ties to Europe. We then delve into some provincial polling and take another look at the ongoing Quebec election campaign before we answer a few questions from our Patreon members.

The extended mailbag is available for Patreon members here: https://thenumberspod.ca/posts/upset-win-in-and-169736998

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus content several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
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A few weeks ago we asked a question — will Mark Carney get another Trump bump?

Well, we have the answer. And the answer is yes.

Recent polls show that support for Mark Carney personally and for the Liberals more broadly has increased over the last few weeks as Canadians get behind the prime minister’s decision to cease trade negotiations with the United States. Polls also show that Canadians support counter-tariffs and no compromise with the Americans, a feeling that is unlikely to dissipate as the Trump administration continues to insult and belittle the country.

This week on The Numbers, we delve into the latest federal polls. We also take a look at the ongoing struggles of Pierre Poilievre as his party falls further back. Plus, we break down the latest in the Quebec election campaign and give our thoughts on what to make of the three Ontario provincial byelections that occurred last week.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Mark Carney’s Liberals scored three big wins in Monday’s byelections, taking a seat from the Conservatives and dealing the party another blow. What do the results say about support for the Liberals, the NDP and the Bloc, and what do they mean for Pierre Poilievre’s leadership?

This week on The Numbers, we break down what happened on Monday night. We also take a look at the latest federal polling numbers, as well as lay out the state of the race as the Quebec election enters the second week of the campaign. Plus, we preview tonight’s provincial byelections in Ontario and take a look at some new polling numbers out of Alberta.

We also answer questions from our members, including on what is happening with the B.C. Conservative Party. To listen to the extended mailbag segment, join our Patreon right here!

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

The extended mailbag is also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s been a tumultuous week on the U.S. trade relations file, as negotiations fell apart, tariffs and retaliatory tariffs were threatened and applied and insults flew back and forth across the U.S.-Canada border, notably between President Donald Trump and Ontario Premier Doug Ford. But how are Canadians reacting — and going to react — to Mark Carney’s handling of the issue, as well as these renewed attacks on the country from the unpopular U.S. president?

The Numbers is back this week (and for the long haul!) to take a look at what the polls say about how Canadians are digesting the news, including in Ontario where Ford has appeared to have rebounded. Plus, with three federal byelections scheduled on Monday in Chicoutimi—Le Fjord, Beaches—East York and North Vancouver—Capilano, we play our usual game of over/under. Can the Liberals (or Bloc) pick up Chicoutimi—Le Fjord, or will the Conservatives avoid losing their first seat in a byelection in nearly a decade?

Then, with Quebec’s election call expected on Thursday (hence our one-day-early episode), we break down the state of the race with just hours to go before its official launch.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.

You can watch this episode on YouTube.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The polls over the last few weeks have not been kind to the Conservatives, as multiple surveys have put the party under the psychologically important threshold of 30%. What does this mean for Pierre Poilievre, and could some upcoming byelections be points of no return for his leadership?

This week on The Numbers, we break down the plethora of recent polls that have been published and what they say for Mark Carney and Avi Lewis, as well as the Conservative leader. We also discuss a trio of new polls out of Quebec that point to an unpredictable provincial election, as well as two new polls out of Ontario that have better news for Doug Ford ahead of three byelections. Then, we dive into the mailbag to answer some questions, including what odds we'd give an early election call.

The extended mailbag (about 25 extra minutes) is available for the podcast’s Patreon members and Apple subscribers. If you’d like to get the full mailbag, as well as early and ad-free episodes and other bonuses, you can watch or listen to the episode on our Patreon page.

Looking for even more of The Numbers? If you join our Patreon and support this joint project of ours, you’ll get ad-free episodes every week, bonus episodes several times per month and access to our lively Discord. Join here!

https://thenumberspod.ca/

The bonus episodes are also available via an Apple Podcasts subscription.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.