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Peter Schiff: Just The Start of Decade-Long Bull Run in Gold, Silver and Miners
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Peter Schiff to the show. Peter Schiff is CEO of Euro Pacific Asset Management, and Chairman of Schiff Gold. The discussion centers on the current economic landscape, focusing on precious metals, monetary policy, and global economic shifts. Schiff argues that the Federal Reserve has effectively returned to quantitative easing by purchasing T-bills and expanding its balance sheet. He believes this signals a highly accommodative monetary policy that will continue to fuel inflation and prop up economic bubbles. The conversation highlights the ongoing transfer of wealth from the West to the East, with central banks in Eastern countries accumulating gold at unprecedented rates. Regarding precious metals, Schiff is bullish on both gold and silver. He predicts silver could reach $100 per ounce in the next year and believes the current bull market is still in its early stages. He emphasizes that investors should not wait for pullbacks but start building positions now, as the long-term trajectory for precious metals looks promising. The discussion also explores the broader economic challenges facing the United States, including unsustainable government debt, declining industrial capacity, and the potential loss of global reserve currency status. Schiff is critical of current economic policies, arguing that the country needs significant structural changes to address its fundamental economic weaknesses. On investment strategy, Schiff recommends a diversified approach that includes physical gold and silver, mining stocks, and international value stocks. Schiff’s outlook is cautiously optimistic about precious metals while remaining pessimistic about the U.S. economic trajectory. He believes the current trends will continue, with gold and silver serving as critical safe havens as global economic dynamics continue to shift. Guest Links: Podcast: https://schiffradio.com Website: https://schiffgold.com Website: https://europac.com X: https://x.com/peterschiff YouTube: https://youtube.com/@peterschiff Peter Schiff is an honorary chairman of SchiffGold, founder of Euro Pacific Asset Management, and host of The Peter Schiff Show. Peter is an economic forecaster and investment advisor influenced by the free-market Austrian School of economics. He is one of the few forecasters who accurately and publicly predicted the 2007 housing market collapse and subsequent 2008 financial crisis. His latest best-selling book, The Real Crash: America’s Coming Bankruptcy – How to Save Yourself and Your Country, warns that the 2008 crisis was just the prelude to a larger sovereign debt crisis in the United States that may lead to a collapse of the US dollar. Peter recommends long-term investment in foreign markets with sound fiscal policies, as well as global commodities including buying gold, silver and other physical precious metals.
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Lyn Alden: The Fourth Turning, ‘Structurally Long’ Hard Assets, Oil and Gas and the US Dollar
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Lyn Alden to the show. Lyn Alden is founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. In this comprehensive interview, Alden discusses her “gradual print thesis” and the current macroeconomic landscape, focusing on fiscal dominance and potential long-term economic challenges facing developed countries, particularly the United States. Alden argues that the United States is entering a period of sustained fiscal challenges, characterized by large structural deficits and a complex monetary environment. She suggests the country is transitioning from monetary tightening to monetary loosening, with significant implications for asset allocation. Unlike emerging markets that experience rapid currency debasement, developed countries like the US have more flexibility due to global demand for their currency and extensive international financial infrastructure. Find Out More About Palisades Goldcorp, Canada’s Leading Junior Resource Investment Company:► Website: https://palisades.ca Palisade Radio Links:► Website & Newsletter: https://palisadesradio.ca► Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1586024 The discussion explores historical parallels, particularly drawing comparisons to the 1940s-1970s period. Alden emphasizes that while direct comparisons are impossible, certain patterns emerge, such as the importance of owning hard assets during periods of monetary expansion. She recommends diversifying across scarce assets like equities, real estate, precious metals, and select commodities, while being cautious of overvalued investments. Demographic challenges play a crucial role in Alden’s analysis. She challenges the notion that aging populations are inherently deflationary, arguing that extensive entitlement systems and continued consumption by older populations can actually drive inflationary pressures. This perspective suggests a more complex economic landscape than traditional models predict. Regarding potential investment opportunities, Alden highlights regions like Japan, Latin America, and parts of Southeast Asia as potentially attractive. She’s particularly bullish on assets that are currently undervalued and have long-term potential, such as regional banks, Bitcoin, energy infrastructure, and select international markets. Ultimately, Alden views the current economic environment as part of a broader “fourth turning” cycle, characterized by increasing political volatility and structural economic challenges. She anticipates a gradual process of economic adjustment rather than a sudden, dramatic collapse, advising investors to remain diversified and adaptable. Timestamps:00:00:00 – Introduction00:00:47 – Gradual Print Thesis00:02:10 – Fiscal Dominance Explained00:04:20 – Outgrowing Debt Challenges00:07:42 – Inflation Spectrum Assets00:10:43 – Reshoring Industrial Base00:15:38 – Treasury Auction Risks00:17:10 – Debt Crisis Timeline00:20:18 – Fourth Turning Parallels00:22:10 – Demographic Inflation Pressures00:28:35 – Historical Debt Cycles00:31:02 – Portfolio Allocation Advice00:50:12 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:X: https://x.com/LynAldenContactWebsite: https://lynalden.comAmazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/lynaldenc Lyn Alden is editor and publisher of LynAlden.com, where she has both a subscription and a free financial newsletter. She says, “Her background lies at the intersection of engineering and finance.” Her site provides investment research and strategy, covering stocks, precious metals, international equities, and alternative investments, with a specialization in asset allocation. Whether you’re new to investing or experienced, there’s a lot there for you. Lyn has a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering and a master’s degree in engineering management, focusing on engineering economics and financial modeling. She oversees the finances and day-to-day operations of an engineering facility. She has been performing investment research for over fifteen years in various public and private capacities. Her work has been editorially featured or cited on Business Insider, Marketwatch, Time’s Money Magazine, The Daily Telegraph, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Street, CNBC, US News and World Report, Kiplinger, and The Huffington Post. She has also appeared on Real Vision, The Investor’s Podcast Network, The Rebel Capitalist Show, The Market Huddle, and many other podcasts. She is also a regular contributor to Seeking Alpha, FEDweek, and Elliot Wave Trader.
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Gary Savage: Gold’s Parabolic Rise to $10,000, Why $500 Silver is ‘likely’ & How This Bull Run Ends
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Gary Savage to the show. Gary Savage is Retired Entrepreneur, Investor, and President of Smart Money Tracker Premium. In this insightful interview, Savage provides a comprehensive analysis of the current precious metals market, focusing on gold and silver’s potential trajectory. Savage believes the gold market is currently in the second phase of a long-term bull market, which began around 2015. He emphasizes the importance of maintaining the “wall of worry” – a psychological state where investors remain cautious – to potentially extend the bull market’s duration. He suggests the market could continue for two to three more years if it avoids excessive optimism and maintains periodic corrections. Regarding potential price targets, Savage is remarkably bullish on gold, predicting it could reach $10,000, and potentially even $15,000 or $20,000. For silver, he anticipates reaching $100 by 2026, with potential for $250 and possibly $500 if market conditions remain favorable. He sees the gold-to-silver ratio as a key indicator of market tops, with a ratio between 20-30 suggesting a potential market peak. Savage’s investment strategy involves an 80/20 split, with 80% in physical gold and silver as a long-term insurance strategy, and 20% dedicated to leveraged trading during intermediate market cycles. Gary cautions against getting caught up in market narratives and emphasizes the importance of recognizing when an asset becomes overvalued. On broader economic trends, Savage discusses potential commodity supercycles, geopolitical conflict cycles, and the likelihood of continued central bank interventions. He remains cautiously optimistic about precious metals while acknowledging the potential for significant market volatility in the coming years. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:08 – Gold Bull Market Phase 00:02:34 – Wall of Worry Dynamics 00:05:03 – Public Interest in Gold 00:08:35 – Fundamentals and Narratives 00:10:22 – Parabolic Phase Indicators 00:12:13 – Playing the Bull Market 00:14:24 – Avoiding Narrative Traps 00:17:31 – Silver Price Outlook 00:21:27 – Market Suppression Break 00:23:53 – Miners as Leverage Play 00:25:44 – Equities Long-Term Cycle 00:29:27 – War Cycles and Recession 00:33:28 – Commodity Supercycle Potential 00:36:01 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https:/x.com/garysavage1 Blog: https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgiNs7gCxEvgBE1HHvoOKTQ/videos Website: https://smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/login/ Gary Savage is a retired entrepreneur living in Las Vegas. He has been investing in stocks and commodities for 15+ years. Gary is a self-made multi-millionaire and attributes his financial success to savvy investments made in owning/selling several businesses, real estate, and, more recently, the stock market. He is also a national Judo, powerlifting, and Olympic weightlifting champion and world record holder. Gary holds national titles in 3 different sports and continues to challenge himself as an avid rock climber, and recently his newest endeavor bowling (two perfect 300 games so far). Gary’s renown as a recognized trading/investment expert in the areas of precious metals, stock market, oil, and currency markets is demonstrated by his numerous internationally published articles in these market areas: Kitco, 24hGold, Gold-Eagle, Investing, 321Gold, Keyport, SilverSeek, TFMetalsReport, FuturesMag, ResourceInvestor, Silver-Phoenix, BayStreetBlog, BeforeItsNews, ETFDailyNews, TalkMarkets, JuniorMiningAnalyst, MarketOracle.UK, SafeHaven, GoldSeek, Mining, CommodityOnline, SilverMarketNewsOnline, StreetWiseReports, and InvestingNews. Gary publishes the Smart Money Tracker, a daily and weekend market newsletter available online by subscription only, at a very modest price. This subscription-only site provides Gary’s in-depth daily commentary and chart analysis of numerous markets, including the stock, precious metals, oil, and currency markets.
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Adrian Day: ‘Wildly Bullish’ for Gold, Gold Miners, $200 Silver & Oil and Gas
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Adrian Day to the show. Adrian Day is CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management & Manager of EuroPacific Gold Fund. In this in-depth conversation about precious metals and commodities, Day provides a comprehensive analysis of the current gold and broader investment landscape. Day remains highly bullish on gold, arguing that all fundamental drivers supporting gold’s recent rise remain intact. He highlights central bank purchasing, currency debasement concerns, and potential future Federal Reserve policies as key factors. While acknowledging gold’s recent price movements, he believes the market is far from reaching its peak and anticipates significant potential for further appreciation. Discussing the generalist investor market, Day notes that North American investors have historically maintained low gold allocations, typically around 2%. He suggests that as economic conditions become more favorable—including lower interest rates, weakening dollar, and increased market volatility—more generalist investors may enter the gold market. Regarding commodities, Day provides nuanced insights into potential investment cycles. He cautions against broadly labeling current trends a “super-cycle” but believes most commodity complexes are undervalued relative to financial assets. He emphasizes the importance of differentiating between individual commodities and focusing on sectors with potential supply constraints, specifically highlighting copper, uranium, and oil as promising areas. Day also discusses gold mining stocks, arguing that despite recent price increases, many large mining companies remain attractively valued. He sees significant potential in mid-tier miners and believes valuations remain compelling, particularly as gold reserves are revalued at higher prices. On broader economic trends, Day discusses the gradual shift away from dollar dominance, noting that while the US dollar remains central to global trade, its proportion of global reserves and trade settlements is declining. He anticipates this trend could incrementally benefit gold as an alternative asset. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:15 – Bullish Case for Gold 00:03:49 – Gold Pullback Analysis 00:09:57 – Generalist Investors Shift 00:16:18 – Currency Debasement Trade 00:19:31 – Remonetization Thesis Discussion 00:22:32 – Silver Price Surge Drivers 00:31:22 – Valuing Gold Miners 00:35:32 – Mid-Tier Miners Potential 00:38:02 – M&A and Financing Health 00:40:10 – Commodity Super-Cycle Tease 00:47:36 – Oil and Gas Dynamics 00:51:15 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://adrianday.com/ Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and is frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.
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Dr. Mark Thornton: Early Innings for Gold, Silver Manipulation, Black Swans & Failing Markets
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Mark Thornton to the show. Dr. Mark Thornton is Economist and Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute. The discussion centers on the current state of precious metals, monetary policy, and economic systems, with a particular focus on gold and silver’s role in the global financial landscape. Thornton argues that gold is fundamentally money, and governments have only recently forced their way into replacing commodity money with fiat currency. He suggests that the current precious metals market is still in its early stages, with central bank buying and distrust in the US dollar driving significant interest. The gold and silver markets are experiencing growing pains, with increasing investor attention and potential for further price appreciation. The conversation delves into the fundamental differences between Austrian and Keynesian economics. Thornton criticizes Keynesian economics as a state-controlled ideology that promotes government spending and manipulates interest rates, whereas Austrian economics advocates for market-driven monetary systems and private property rights. He highlights how central bank policies create economic bubbles and exacerbate wealth inequality by favoring asset-rich individuals. Thornton sees potential for a significant monetary transformation, potentially triggered by the current precious metals bull market. He believes the collision between Western and Eastern financial markets, coupled with the rise of cryptocurrencies, could lead to a fundamental restructuring of monetary systems. The possibility of a return to a gold standard or a gold-backed settlement currency is discussed as a potential future scenario. The economist also warns about potential economic bubbles in artificial intelligence and private equity, arguing that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policies have created unsustainable conditions across various sectors. He believes that while central banks have been able to temporarily extend economic cycles, their power is not infinite, and a significant market correction is inevitable. Thornton concludes by emphasizing the importance of understanding Austrian economic principles and encourages listeners to explore the works of economists like Friedrich Hayek to gain deeper insights into monetary systems and economic dynamics. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:19 – Gold as Money 00:04:21 – Central Bank Distrust 00:05:52 – Bull Run Early Stages 00:09:35 – Historical Parallels 1980s 00:14:15 – Return to Gold Standard 00:18:16 – Bond Markets Unraveling 00:24:07 – Austrian vs Keynesian Economics 00:31:19 – Flexible Inflation Targeting 00:33:53 – Silver Monetary Role 00:45:46 – AI Private Equity Bubbles 00:51:11 – Future Recession Outlook 00:55:41 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://mises.org X: https://x.com/DrMarkThornton E-Mail: mailto:[email protected] YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=mark+thornton+minor+issues Book-Hayek: https://mises.org/library/book/hayek-21st-century-essays-political-economy Dr. Mark Thornton is a Senior Fellow at the Mises Institute and formerly held the Peterson-Luddy Chair in Austrian Economics. He hosts the podcasts Minor Issues and Unanimity and is Book Review Editor of the Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics. His books include The Economics of Prohibition, Tariffs, Blockades, and Inflation, The Bastiat Collection, and The Skyscraper Curse. He has served on multiple editorial boards, taught economics at several universities, and worked as Assistant Superintendent of Banking and adviser to Alabama Governor Fob James. He holds degrees from St. Bonaventure University and Auburn University and has debated the “War on Drugs” at the Oxford Union. Dr. Thornton has been featured in major outlets such as The Economist, Forbes, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, and USA Today, along with numerous international and regional newspapers. His commentary appears regularly on the Mises Institute’s platforms and on programs such as Boom-Bust, the Tom Woods Show, and the Scott Horton Show.
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