Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

In this interview, Alex Gurevich of HonTe Investments outlines his macroeconomic outlook, highlighting a particularly bullish stance on the platinum and palladium markets because they historically follow long cycles that lag behind gold and silver. He predicts that the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence will initially act as a deflationary headwind, potentially automating away 20% of jobs by the end of the decade and permanently eliminating certain white-collar economic activities. To combat this impending deflation and job loss, he anticipates that the Federal Reserve will be forced to drastically cut short-term interest rates—possibly down to zero—alongside the introduction of massive government stimulus. Because of this dynamic, Kovich views being long on short-duration bonds as a "dominant trade" that can succeed under multiple economic outcomes, though he remains uncertain about the trajectory of long-term rates and therefore favors a steeper yield curve. Furthermore, he envisions a long-term AI-driven prosperity boom but warns that the massive compute power required will inevitably lead to a severe global energy bottleneck. As part of this AI infrastructure build-out, he specifically notes that there will not be enough copper on the planet to support the necessary power demands.

Alex’s Book, “The Next Perfect Trade: A Magic Sword of Necessity”: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0GBYXNLD4?tag=scribemedia0a-20&th=1&psc=1&geniuslink=true

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Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator at the Financial Times joins Jack for a frank and important discussion on the war with Iran. Jack and Martin delve into the economic consequences of a prolonged war in Iran, particularly with regards to the Strait of Hormuz being affected by the war. In short—war with Iran could be a nightmare scenario for the world economy with few if any benefits for the U.S. and most of the world. Recorded on March 11th, 2026.

 

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Read Martin in the FT https://www.ft.com/content/dab7d625-77f8-40ff-aeb9-451f81772125

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Learn more about Teucrium’s Soybean ETF (SOYB) here: https://teucrium.com/soyb

Nobel Laureate in Economics Joseph Stiglitz (who holds highest #1 D-Index than all other Economists in the world) joins Jack to discuss the recent war in Iran, artificial intelligence, and his macroeconomic views. Dr. Stiglitz warns that the conflict in Iran is likely to have much more serious consequences for the U.S. & world economy than the Trump administration expected. In particular, the disruption of energy production could very well create an energy crisis similar to the one seen in the U.S. in the 1970s. Jack and Dr. Stiglitz also discuss Stiglitz’s work, including the recent The Road to Freedom, which touches on inequality, the cost of war, and economic freedom. Finally, they go over the effects of AI on employment and what the collapse of an AI bubble would mean for the economy. Recorded on March 9th, 2026.

Professor Stiglitz’s The Road to Freedom https://wwnorton.com/books/9781324074373

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Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here:

https://Fundrise.com/mm

In this episode, Michael Howell of Capital Wars and Global Liquidity Indexes discusses why the global liquidity cycle has peaked and is beginning to slow down in early 2026. This shift suggests that investors should pivot toward defensive assets, as the "everything bubble" transitions into a regime where liquidity is tighter relative to growing debt. Howell explains that while the US economy remains fundamentally strong, this strength may ironically act as a headwind for Wall Street by absorbing liquidity into the real economy. He identifies China as the primary driver behind the current surge in gold prices, noting their decoupling from Western cycles as they print money to manage significant debt burdens. Consequently, he highlights Chinese technology stocks and precious metals as unique areas of opportunity in an otherwise cautious market environment. Finally, Howell warns that the "canary in the coal mine" for this liquidity downturn is Bitcoin, which has historically shown extreme sensitivity to shifts in global liquidity momentum.

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Recent Nobel laureate in economics Peter Howitt joins Jack to discuss his work on technological disruption and creative destruction. Dr. Howitt explains that technological advancement creates economic growth while
also causing workers to lose their jobs and firms to go bankrupt due to
obsolescence. This topic is especially relevant today because of the advancement of artificial intelligence technology. Jack and Dr. Howitt examine if artificial intelligence is truly economically different from past technological breakthroughs, the effects of its adoption, and more. Recorded on February 12th, 2026.

 

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