Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

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5 of 426

Rising Reversal Risk In Stocks? | Lance Roberts
Right now nearly every asset class in rising in price simultaneously.And many indices and individual securities are hitting all-time highs.Investors are getting increasingly confident -- which explains the ongoing melt-up.How long will it last?And when it reverses, will it do so gently? Or violently?The longer the current momentum continues at this pace, the more likely the reckoning is sooner and more painful.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss why, as well as the latest technical analysis, this week's FOMC release, gold, AI, social media, the just-announced TikTok deal, the housing market and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#interestrates #marketcorrection #bullmarket 0:00 - Market Heat: High Correlation Across Asset Classes (Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin)2:48 - Why This Rally Isn't "Broken" Yet – Investment Committee Insights3:35 - Train Analogy: Momentum Hard to Stop Despite Slowing Economy4:36 - Earnings as Key Driver: Bull Case vs. Risk of Reversal7:16 - Broad Momentum: Accumulator Model +8%, All-Weather +6%, AI +9%8:14 - Outlook: Exuberance Leads to 5-10% Correction, But Hard to Time10:11 - Tax Cuts Minor; Deregulation & AI Could Drive Growth (Nvidia-Intel Stake)13:31 - Historical Parallels: 1998-99, 2021 Euphoria Ends in Corrections14:46 - Q4 Tailwinds: Earnings Beats, Buybacks +50% YoY, Manager Chasing16:42 - Bias Upward Through Year-End, But 3-5% Pullback Possible18:53 - Google Parabolic: 3-4 Std Dev Above Moving Averages19:35 - Standard Deviations Explained: 99% Odds of Correction24:18 - Gold Also Parabolic: Take Profits, Hedge Positions27:02 - Google AI Threat: Search Monopoly at Risk from Ad Revenue Loss37:47 - Mark Newton Outlook: Momentum to Oct/Nov, Then Correction into 202644:14 - Dot Plot: 4 More Cuts into 2026; Projections Show Slow Growth (1.8%)48:45 - TikTok Deal: Missed Chance to Curb Societal Harm from Social Media59:27 - Housing Cracks: Inventory Up in Midwest/Northeast (Boston +11%)1:04:54 - Idea: Incentive Kids to Live Nearby – Free House After Raising Family1:18:03 - Trades: Position Swaps Next Week – Max 30 Stocks for Outperformance1:20:21 - Rant: Lance's Wife Post-Chemo – Back to Work, Hilarious Wig Story1:26:40 - YouTube Wins: Nutritious, Authentic Content on Demand1:31:16 - Hater Drama: Troll Picks Fights for Visibility – Followers Defend_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:55:27
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1:55:27
Can The Stock Market Bubble Continue Into 2026? | Sven Henrich
When Sven Henrich of NorthmanTrader.com was last on this program in May, he stated that it was "do or die time for the bears"Well...it seems they died.Since May, the S&P has rocketed to new all-time highsWe now see many equity valuation levels at their most extended levels in all of history.Though this is happening at a time when the global economy is showing increasing signs of slowdown.So as we head into the end of the year, can the bulls maintain their dominance?To find out, we'll now hear from the man himself.Follow Sven at https://northmantrader.com/Or on X at @northmantraderLOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#technicalanalysis #marketcorrection #bubble _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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2:06:38
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2:06:38
How To Play The Breakout In Gold & Silver | Andy Schectman
TO BUY GOLD & SILVER, contact Andy's firm at [email protected] metals expert Andy Schectman joined me for a livestream to discuss the significance of the ongoing breakout in gold and silver.What’s been behind it?Is it played out or is it just getting started?We addressed those key questions as well as several new developments (e.g., silver recently being declared a “strategic resource” by the USA) that Andy thinks makes the future of precious metals even brighter.#goldprice #silver #preciousmetals _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:16:21
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1:16:21
Investors Are "Pretty Drunk Right Now" On Gains Despite Risks | Ted Oakley
SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Oxbow at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/oxbowStock valuations are at their highest EVER, by many metrics.So much so that a recent guest on this channel calls them "pornographically" overvalued.And these lofty valuations come at a time when the macro data reveals the economy is slowing down.How long can this dichotomy last before either stocks must reprice downwards or the economy picks up?For seasoned expertise, we have the good fortune of welcoming back to the program high net worth financial advisor Ted Oakley, Managing Partner and Founder of Oxbow Advisors.#valuations #bearmarket #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:10:21
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1:10:21
Is Worry Dead? Nearly All Assets Are Rising Now | Lance Roberts
LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
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1:53:34
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1:53:34