Wild Volatility To Send Stocks Down 35-45% This Year | Cem Karsan
In his last two appearances on this program, today's gues predicted the market would start to become more volatile.In the fall, he didn't necessarily think that would mean lower stock prices. And he was proven correct.But he did express worry that as we entered 2025, continued higher volatility would start to become a problem for investors.And boy, did he nail things with that prediction."Volatile" is perhaps a gentle word for the major market swings we've seen this year, especially over the past week.To find out where he sees things headed from here, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Cem Karsan, Founder, CIO, and Managing Principal of Kai Volatility Advisors & Kai Wealth, widely known as @jam_croissant on X/Twitter.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
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1:29:12
Basis Trade Blowing Up: Could Usher In GFC 2.0 | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart
The swift spike in US Treasury yields has caught some of America's largest hedge funds by surprise, and the severe losses they're suffering are suddenly threatening to spill over into the banking system.These "basis trade" players are highly levered in what they considered very safe, very predictable assets.But bond yields jumped so quickly in response to the Trump tariff tempest, that losses -- highly levered ones -- ensued. Now these firms risk defaulting on the banks that provided the leverage for these trades.Could these create another credit system crisis like 2008?It's possible, warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts. It by no means inevitable, but the risk is worth watching very closely.As a result, Lance's firm has reduced its equity exposure and pulled in the duration of its bond sleeve.Lance shares all the details in this week's Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
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1:54:44
The Reckoning Is Now Here & A Recession Comes Next | Jan van Eck
When markets are in turmoil as they are now, I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers.Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the road ahead -- they have to commit capital to their convictions, and be judged upon the results.Today we have the great fortune of having the return appearance of one of the most respected capital allocators in the business: Jan van EckJan is CEO of vanEck, an asset management firm with over $100 billion in assets under management invested across its wide family of ETFs and funds, spanning equity, bond, commodity, digital and regional asset classes.As we've done the past several quarters now, Jan and I will spend the next hour discussing his latest macro and market outlooks, as well as where he sees the biggest opportunities for investors right now.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com
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1:05:06
Stephanie Pomboy: Tariffs Aren't The Only Big Challenge We Have To Worry About
Macro & market analyst Stephanie Pomboy shares the latest investing trends that have her attention + takes live Q&A from the viewing audience
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1:10:43
Is A Recession Inevitable Now? | David Hay
Wall Street feels like the world just got turned on its head.The once-bulletproof market rally shifted into reverse, with stocks falling for weeks to oversold levels in the short-term.And just when traders thought a bounce was due, President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs announcements sent the markets plunging by percentages not seen since the worst of the COVID crisis.What is going on and what's most likely to happen from here?Is a recession inevitable at this point?To discuss, we're fortunate to be joined today by David Hay, the up-until-recently Chief Investment Officer & Principal at Evergreen Gavekal.He is just days into his retirement from that role, which means he's free to be a lot more detailed and specific with us in his answers now that he’s not subject to compliance constraints.
Canada - english